VFA's Blog

April 23, 2019

Work is getting to be really busy.  I've realized that, though I really focus on forecasting, this industry has a lot of need for more customized or generalized financial help.  And I build really great financials.  So, I've been lucky to get to do that for a lot of yo...

April 17, 2019

Update (4:43p, 4/18/19):  The Lake County Winegrowers Association e-mailed me with some more information:

"Thanks to a near-perfect growing season in 2018, the crop was big everywhere in California, including in Lake County. 2018 prices varied slightly in comparison to...

April 16, 2019

I've been looking for new regions to sell my services in.  I love Sonoma and Napa, but I enjoy getting clients from other regions.  Last year, I made public forecasts for Washington, Oregon and Lake County grape prices.  With the Crush Report released, I'm startin...

October 11, 2018

I am continually creating forecasts for clients: land prices, expenses, acreage numbers, labor rates, revenue and, especially, grape prices.  But those forecasts can be narrowly focused.  For instance, a client may want a forecast for the 80th percentile price for Pino...

July 31, 2018

I am continually creating forecasts for clients: land prices, expenses, acreage numbers, labor rates, revenue and, especially, grape prices.  But those forecasts can be narrowly focused.  For instance, a client may want a forecast for the 80th percentile price for Pino...

September 5, 2017

I was recently asked by the El Dorado Wine Grape Growers Association to produce recommended prices.  Not exactly forecasts, more of an assessment of fair prices, based on long-term trends and cost inflation.  Below is a basic chart, an excerpt from the report.  I would...

May 10, 2017

Recently, I've had the chance to focus a bit on the El Dorado AVA.  I did work for a client there and also put together a presentation for the El Dorado Wine Growers Association.  Click here to get the report I put together for the growers. In the process, I notic...

September 15, 2016

So, as I have mentioned before, my worst forecast ever was a massive failure to predict the 16% jump in price for Lake County Cabernet Sauvignon between 2013 and 2014.  I'm still working on stronger and stronger models for Lake County - and, for that matter, everywhere...

September 14, 2016

Are grape prices too high?  I have heard many producers claiming that they are.  Vineyard guys tend to think they aren't.  In the end, the answer is, of course, "depends."  Depends on where you are and what you're growing.  But we can take a broad-market look at this i...

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Stay tuned to VFA's blog to follow grape price trends and for information and advice relevant to the business of running a vineyard.  You can browse articles to the left, via the pull-down archive menu or by searching for specific article tags.

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