VFA's Blog

September 26, 2019

USDA Pricing District 5 has the same borders as Solano County.  The problem is that the region is really two different markets: the west and the east.  As the borders are set now, the pricing indications from the Crush Report are difficult for growers to make much use...

July 10, 2019

Long-term grape contracts require a mechanism to dictate price throughout the term of the contract.  These mechanisms can make an enormous difference in the profitability of the contract for both sides.  The chart below is an illustrative case study.  It assumes a thre...

July 3, 2019

I recently had the great honor of presenting to the California Association of Wine Growers at their annual summer seminar.  My topic was a somewhat wide ranging discussion of how grape growers could use the Crush Report and Acreage Report to better their business...

April 23, 2019

Work is getting to be really busy.  I've realized that, though I really focus on forecasting, this industry has a lot of need for more customized or generalized financial help.  And I build really great financials.  So, I've been lucky to get to do that for a lot of yo...

January 7, 2019

This creates an easy way to see how District 3 Pinot Noir prices have evolved, by percentile, over time, in both nominal and inflation-adjusted dollars.  Below is a screenshot, but the power in the file is that you can scroll through all the years from 1991-2017, using...

January 4, 2019

So, sometimes I'm deep into a client project and I hit a wall.  My work quality drops, my productivity falls.  In some cases, I just do some jumping jacks or go into the house to change that light bulb that went out a couple days ago - and then get back to work.  But s...

January 3, 2019

So, this post may be coming a bit late to be of much help, but maybe it will be useful to someone.  This stems from some casual research I was doing.  I've been hoping for a contract to forecast Napa County Cabernet Sauvignon.  It's such a huge question going forward,...

November 13, 2018

Three weeks ago, I posted my first installment of this series about the coming Grapepocalypse, which discussed the effects of the changing grape market cycle.  I promised some more doom and gloom, but it took me a bit to get this article out.  Unfortunately, both of my...

October 24, 2018

Lately, there has been a lot of talk about how we’re due to see a downturn in the wine market.  As those of you who have gotten a glass of wine with me anytime since 2012 probably know, I’ve been predicting a peak in wine grape prices in 2018. 

Over the past 6 year...

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Stay tuned to VFA's blog to follow grape price trends and for information and advice relevant to the business of running a vineyard.  You can browse articles to the left, via the pull-down archive menu or by searching for specific article tags.

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